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Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered a return to year-over-year revenue growth: net sales $13.34B (+2.5% YoY; +3.3% FX-neutral), while non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.92; excluding discrete India items, EPS would have been $0.99, above the high end of guidance, though gross margin declined 51 bps to 7.01% on mix and India impacts .
- Cloud and Client & Endpoint Solutions led growth; server and storage were up double digits, while networking remained soft; large enterprise demand strengthened globally, with SMB and public sector softer .
- Balance sheet and cash flow were a bright spot: cash from operations $310.0M and adjusted free cash flow $337.2M; FY 2024 debt repaid $483.1M (total $1.56B since 2022). Board declared a $0.074 dividend and approved up to $75M in repurchases tied to secondary offerings .
- Q1 2025 guidance sets net sales at $11.43–$11.83B, gross profit $785–$835M, and non-GAAP EPS $0.51–$0.61, reflecting continued PC refresh tailwinds and ongoing competitive pricing pressure in India; tax rate ~30% non-GAAP .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Return to top-line growth with strength in Cloud and Client & Endpoint Solutions; server and storage up double digits: “we saw a return to year-over-year revenue growth… strong performance in Cloud and in Client and Endpoint Solutions” .
- Robust cash generation and deleveraging: Q4 cash from operations $310.0M and adjusted free cash flow $337.2M; FY 2024 debt repayment $483.1M; dividend initiation and buyback authorization underscore capital returns .
- Xvantage platform progress and operating leverage: management highlighted accelerated digital capabilities, >$600M cumulative cloud/digital investment, and efficiencies feeding OpEx leverage and throughput .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression to 7.01% (-51 bps YoY) driven by mix shift (lower-margin CES, APAC growth, enterprise customer mix) and heightened competition, notably in India .
- Discrete India charges (inventory write-offs and GST/professional fees) and IPO-related stock-based comp reduced Q4 profitability by ~$54.4M (41 bps of sales) and ~$0.07 EPS, pulling non-GAAP EPS to $0.92 .
- SMB and public sector remained soft across regions, tempering higher-margin services attachment; networking demand continued to lag despite sequential improvement signals .
Financial Results
Core P&L vs prior year and prior quarter
Q4 2024 actual vs guidance (from Nov. Q3 update)
Regional breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We saw a return to year-over-year revenue growth… driven by strong performance in Cloud and in Client and Endpoint Solutions” — CEO Paul Bay .
- “Excluding the two discrete items in India… non-GAAP diluted EPS… would have been $0.99, above the high end of our guidance range” — CFO Mike Zilis .
- “Xvantage… reduced [complex cybersecurity quote] cycle time by over 80%… enabling redeployment to proactive sales” — CEO Paul Bay .
- “We will be paying a quarterly dividend… and… authorized share repurchases up to $75M” — CFO Mike Zilis .
Q&A Highlights
- Enterprise mix and PC cycle: Large enterprise strength was global; PC refresh driven by Windows and new systems; early AI PC contribution modest .
- Tariffs: Ingram typically passes tariffs through; demand impact depends on price elasticity; financing solutions may offset; vendors diversifying manufacturing footprints .
- Margin dynamics and India: Mix shift (CES, enterprise, APAC) dilutes gross margins; India bidding environment highly competitive; no notable one-time costs embedded in Q1 guide .
- SMB and public sector: SMB down double digits through most quarters with improving pipeline into back half; public sector down globally in Q4 with potential recovery ahead .
- Working capital and FCF: Seasonal collections in Q1 after Q4 sales; long-term goal to convert ≥30% of EBITDA to FCF, tempered by mix and growth investments .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to S&P Global daily request limits at the time of retrieval; comparisons are anchored to company guidance and actuals. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable; therefore, no consensus figures are presented.
- Notably, non-GAAP EPS of $0.92 fell within guided $0.85–$0.98, and would have been $0.99 excluding discrete India items (above the high end), with net sales and gross profit meeting guidance ranges .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix headwinds drove margin compression, but underlying demand improved, with PC refresh and enterprise strength; cloud and server/storage momentum support medium-term margin recovery as mix shifts back to Advanced Solutions and Cloud .
- Discrete India charges and competitive pricing in India are transitory but meaningful—monitor India margin trajectory and any progress on settlements/recoveries .
- Cash generation and deleveraging continue to be a differentiator; dividend initiation and targeted buybacks add shareholder return optionality while term loan repayments persist .
- Q1 2025 guide implies seasonal moderation vs Q4 yet sustained YoY growth, with EPS range reflecting continued mix and India pricing pressures; watch guidance updates and networking recovery signals .
- Xvantage is increasingly a structural advantage—evidence of cycle-time reductions, reactivation of dormant customers, and self-serve orders scaling; anticipate OpEx leverage as deployments broaden .
- For near-term trading, an upside EPS surprise excluding India items and capital return actions are positive catalysts; margin narrative hinges on mix normalization and India competition easing .
- Medium-term thesis: as Advanced Solutions and Cloud expand, gross margins should trend higher; continued automation and restructuring savings underpin operating leverage .